Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.001366 0.001529 0.001692 0.001867 0.002049 0.002233 0.002431
2025-09-14 0.001103 0.001337 0.001579 0.001846 0.002129 0.002420 0.002739
2025-09-21 0.000939 0.001230 0.001539 0.001886 0.002262 0.002653 0.003088
2025-09-28 0.000831 0.001171 0.001541 0.001964 0.002428 0.002917 0.003466
2025-10-05 0.000694 0.001067 0.001483 0.001969 0.002510 0.003086 0.003738
2025-10-12 0.000593 0.000994 0.001453 0.001999 0.002614 0.003275 0.004028
2025-10-19 0.000479 0.000894 0.001385 0.001979 0.002658 0.003394 0.004239
2025-10-26 0.000391 0.000817 0.001337 0.001978 0.002719 0.003528 0.004462
2025-11-02 0.000305 0.000732 0.001274 0.001954 0.002750 0.003626 0.004643
2025-11-09 0.000246 0.000677 0.001243 0.001965 0.002818 0.003762 0.004865
2025-11-16 0.000190 0.000619 0.001204 0.001964 0.002869 0.003878 0.005061
2025-11-23 0.000139 0.000558 0.001157 0.001948 0.002901 0.003970 0.005229
2025-11-30 0.000090 0.000503 0.001131 0.001979 0.003012 0.004179 0.005559
2025-12-07 0.000037 0.000416 0.001054 0.001944 0.003046 0.004302 0.005797
2025-12-14 0.000012 0.000370 0.001032 0.001977 0.003160 0.004518 0.006141
2025-12-21 0.000002 0.000348 0.001042 0.002051 0.003324 0.004791 0.006549
2025-12-28 NaN 0.000294 0.000999 0.002053 0.003398 0.004959 0.006838
2026-01-04 NaN 0.000258 0.000978 0.002081 0.003504 0.005162 0.007165
2026-01-11 NaN 0.000205 0.000923 0.002060 0.003545 0.005289 0.007404
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000166 0.000883 0.002058 0.003609 0.005441 0.007669
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000124 0.000830 0.002033 0.003642 0.005554 0.007889
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000098 0.000804 0.002044 0.003718 0.005717 0.008165
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000072 0.000771 0.002042 0.003777 0.005858 0.008414